2026 Nuffield NZ Farming Scholarship. Apply by 17 August 2025. Read More...

Apply for 2026 Nuffield NZ Farming Scholarship by 17 August 2025. More details...

New Zealand Dairy trade and market expansion opportunities

New Zealand exports in excess of 90% of its dairy products and is the world’s leading supplier of whole milk powder to China. New Zealand must expand current dairy trade markets and identify emerging market opportunities to remain competitive in the global dairy trade. New Zealand is an export dependent country, that efficiently produces milk and dairy products in excess of domestic market requirements. Returns from dairy trade contribute over 40% of food and fibre revenue which is more than 80% of the total export revenue to the New Zealand economy. China is New Zealand’s largest dairy product export market, importing an estimated NZD$8.3 billion of whole milk powder during the 2022 year. Pre-COVID and the Russia – Ukraine conflict, the demand for New Zealand dairy products was increasing in the Asia and Middle East regions; particularly in countries such as Japan, the UAE and Singapore. Food security has become a priority for countries such as the UAE and Singapore, who are dependent on food imports to feed their populations.

Dubai, Tokyo and Singapore are studied in this research, exploring trade expansion opportunities throughout the Asia and Middle East regions, through applying a gateway city model. The literature describes gateway cities as business hubs, linking international financial and consumer markets and connecting nearby regions where trade has been restricted due to political instability, social unrest, or bureaucratic red tape. The importance of political stability in the gateway city and country is an important element for gateway cities. Both Dubai and Singapore are well respected in their regions for the secure flow of finance and reliable financial systems. Geopolitical uncertainties can be high in Asia and the Middle East regions and Dubai and Singapore are recognised as a safe place to engage in business and investment.

Gateway cities perform an important role of connecting their hinterlands and peripheries to the global trade network. Gateway cities further perform a brokerage role; mediating the flow of goods, capital and labour; creating a connection between regions through a central role in logistics, transportation and wholesaling. Gateway cities gain wealth from their regions and create regional economic wealth. They are cities that are seen as attractive places to live and work for foreign talent, tourists and investors. Further, gateway cities like Singapore and Dubai have Governments who have invested in creating trade relationships that support the ease of trade and access to markets. Tokyo is a unique gateway city, connecting Tokyo to Japan’s domestic market and the wider Asia region. Japan has gained power and influence through regional and global economies; connecting to its hinterland and other world
cities.

The Asia and Middle East regions are the largest volume importers of whole milk powder (WMP), followed by skim milk powder (SMP), cheese and butter. The UAE is the second largest volume importer of WMP, behind China during the 2017-2021 years. The ten largest volume importers of SMP are from the Asia region and the Middle East countries do not feature on the top ten list. Japan is the largest volume importer of cheese and the UAE is the sixth largest volume importer of cheese. Five Middle East countries feature as the top ten cheese importers across the Asia and Middle East regions. Butter is the least imported dairy product across the regions, however Singapore, the UAE and Japan all feature on the top ten largest volume importer list for the 2017-2021 years for butter. New Zealand will remain a strong exporter of WMP and butter and the cheese market is one that can be further expanded. New Zealand is a larger volume exporter of dairy products across the Asia region, and the Middle East market creates an opportunity for market expansion. The UAE, Japan and Singapore are three countries which feature on the top ten importing countries across the Middle East and Asia for all four dairy product imports.

Domestic dairy production in Japan is highly regulated to create a stable supply of fresh milk for the domestic market. The cost of producing milk in Japan is high, with a dependency on feed imports, driving the cost of production. Despite strong Government support and subsidies, Japanese Dairy Farmers are experiencing the challenge of increasing business debt and an ageing workforce. Japanese consumers enjoy engaging with the origin of their dairy products and agri-tourism is popular. Health benefits drive Japanese consumer behaviour towards dairy product choice and dairy products such as: international cheeses, yoghurts, drinking yoghurts and protein drinks are becoming increasingly popular. Singapore and Dubai have limited domestic production of milk and are reliant on imported dairy products.

Singapore has a diverse population. The expatriate population contributes to 30% of the total population and has influenced Singaporean diets, resulting in an increase of dairy product consumption. Singaporean consumers are health conscious and consider dairy based protein for health and nutrition benefits. Singapore and Dubai import more than 90% of their food for their domestic population. Up to 90% of Dubai’s population are expatriates from over 200 nationalities. Dubai supermarkets are specifically targeted at consumer groups and cater for a super diverse population meeting the needs by extensive food imports. The UAE is experiencing a shift towards more value-add, convenient and healthier food alternatives, developing a taste for westernised diets; influenced by a growing expatriate population. Food security strategies have created heightened awareness for food import dependent countries; Singapore and the UAE. The Singaporean Government has invested in science, innovation and research to look at alternative forms of growing food and protein. Singapore is well known for its science and research centres along with its urban strategy.

Further research to understand the influence of country-based culture on consumer food choices across Asia and the Middle East is required. Current research does not adequately understand the cultural influences on dairy product choice and consumption. Understanding country-based culture provides an insight into the daily eating habits, rituals, traditions and consumption patterns. Asia has been a traditional consumer of plant-based protein and understanding the social shift that is occurring particularly in ageing populations is important.

Consumption of food has been linked to economic and social factors, including disposable income, age, education, family member and family size. Consumer buyer behaviour is different for domestic populations compared to expatriate populations, particularly in Singapore and Dubai, where the expatriate population is significantly higher than Japan. Increasing urbanisation also impacts consumer food choices along with population growth leading towards higher value foods and an increase in dairy product consumption.

Keywords for Search: Parmindar Singh

Data sharing to achieve data interoperability

New Zealand is a country of entrepreneurs and leaders in the creation of new systems and apps that can capture on farm data. A significant opportunity to automate data collection to match the systems together and see the data holistically still remains. Each company is creative and innovative in their own right, but farmers and growers want to see the data consolidated. This is how they can make robust, science-based decisions on farm.

This is becoming increasingly important as we move into a digital world where information is accessible at consumers’ fingertips – we need farm data to be in this same realm. With the new generation coming through, it is no longer enough to have values and show what farmers stand for, we also need to prove it.

During my Nuffield year I spent four months overseas visiting different agriculture companies, farmers, and governments. I came back with a strong understanding of the risks of not integrating our data. Covid-19 has changed our world faster than ever before. There are new standards and requirements to be met that are being imposed by consumers. No longer can we afford to look at siloed data systems.

We should not be afraid of transparency because the world is demanding it. Our consumers are demanding it. If we do not do it the effect will be that we will be told how to farm because we haven’t proved we are better than 10 years ago. I believe we do farm better. But belief does not cut it anymore. For the next generation coming through we need the data and the evidence of our farms to back up our claims.

No country or system I came across has a fully integrated farm data system. In New Zealand we are well placed to try something new around data interoperability because many of our companies are co­operatives and farmer owned. We are in the premium space and need to hold our premium position. We also need to have all the information available to make the best decisions on farm and enable scenario planning and modelling. We should be able to answer questions such as:

• What happens if I put 40 kilograms less fertiliser on per hectare? What does that do to my beef production and revenue line?
• What happens if I invest in cow monitoring technology and then catch mastitis and disease earlier? What does this do to production and revenue?

Consider the emerging discipline of a farm data manager. The farm data manager will work directly with farmers and growers to determine their drivers for farming and to create a data strategy. Every farmer and grower has different needs, drivers, and reasons for being. Different data points interest different farmers. Each farm and farmer or grower require a solution that matches their driver and strategy.

Farmers and growers need a bespoke solution for them – a data manager can assist with this. It is not practicable for every farm to employ a data manager. Instead, a data manager will have a portfolio of farmers and growers they work with to give them a solution that best works for them. We need to try something different to move forward on on-farm data interoperability.

This report proposes establishing a new discipline of the farm data manager. Farmers and growers are not expected to be finance experts instead they outsource this to an accountant to support them. So why are we asking them to be data experts? Instead, a farm data manager can support them.

Keywords for Search: Lucie Douma, Lucy Duma

How do we equip farmers to embrace imposed change?

How do we equip farmers to embrace imposed change?


Farmers have been and will be faced with an increased amount of imposed change. This could be regulatory, market, climatic and more. What has become evident is how farmers are dealing with it, with varying degrees of success due to poor stakeholder uptake. Change is a certain component of the future of New Zealand agriculture, the opportunity is to make it a positive experience that applauds and embraces innovation and encourages personal stewardship while minimising regulation.

Illustrated in the literature review are: personal characteristics of problem solving and changing thought patterns, analysed with theory from Kubler-Ross and Everett-Rogers; the key processes we as humans and farmers go through in the change process; and innovators and laggards’ descriptions encompassed in a personal and industry comparable study.

Key messages from the report include:

  • Farmers need to continually self-educate and understand their circle of influence and control as well as improve self-awareness around how they react to imposed change through natural thought processes.

  • All organisations, government and individuals need a better understanding of social science initiatives to see and identify what the motives, pressure points and issues are. There is a greater need for regulatory organisations to partner with social science consultancy advice to plan and implement processes to ensure positive stakeholder buy-in resulting in outcomes beneficial to all.


Recommendations include

  • Government has an important role in facilitating change through means other than just regulatory. More effort is needed to encourage change through, tax breaks for research and development (R&D), investing and partnering in innovation and technologies that will help drive change such as improving environmental outcomes.

    Farmers have a responsibility to embrace imposed change by continually investing in their own skill set and knowledge base. This should be treated like investing in any other business input with finances and time allocated accordingly.


Farmers need to continually self-educate and understand their circle of influence and control as well as improve self-awareness around how they react to imposed change through natural thought processes.

Keywords for Search: Edward Pinckney, Pinkney, Pinkny

The Home Paddock

Daniel Eb Nuffield report image

A fracturing social licence to farm.
Recruitment.
An authentic provenance story.


These are our sector’s most entrenched challenges.

At their roots, they are about culture, values and perception.

They are homegrown, non-market problems confronting a sector that has optimised to win in the global marketplace. We can’t rely on our traditional strengths to produce, R&D or market our way out of them.

There is a tacit acceptance that the way forward is to shift from designing for volume and market value, to systems that also include social and environmental values.

To support that transition, this report imagines what a values-led food & farming system in Aotearoa New Zealand might look like. It’s built around an analogy, what if food & farming was more like healthcare and education – a public good. The analogy helps us to compare systems designed to sell to consumers, with those designed to more fully meet the needs of people. It helps us to see the challenges in values-led systems (like complexity, stakeholder collaboration and empathetic design) and their benefits (like trust, engagement and local prosperity).

In addition to the public good analogy, this report looks to examples in Kaupapa Māori, proposes a ‘cheat sheet’ for values-led innovation and explores five forms of values-led food & farming operating at the
edges of the sector.

It concludes with something concrete. A strategy for values-led redesign of the domestic market focussed on scaling local food & farming economies.
It’s a strategy to realise the untapped value in our domestic food system – our home paddock. It calls for enabling some farmers to look inwards and participate directly in their town’s local food economy.


It’s about designing around our values and practices that Kiwis increasingly want to engage with – like connecting to nature, learning & healing on farms or farming-based sustainability solutions. It proposes a
framework for action on food insecurity and health, two fundamental barriers to developing the ‘food & farming culture’ we need to rebuild social licence, recruit Kiwis and tell a provenance story to the world.
At its core, this is a strategy for building meaningful, everyday touchpoints with urban New Zealanders.

Because values matter across every kitchen table, community hall and boardroom – this report concludes by covering the potential roles of each sector player in a values-led domestic system.

We’re a trading nation, and we’re good at it. But we need to front-up to the fact that under the current export-dominated model, Kiwis feel increasingly disconnected from food & farming.

To meet these entrenched social challenges, we need to have the courage to do things differently – to lean into our values and redesign our home paddock, for local food & farming economies to thrive.

Here’s how.

Keywords for Search: Daniel Eb

The Green and the Black of It

This paper initially set out to determine whether it was possible to better monetise sustainability with the New Zealand Deer Industry. In addition to this, I wanted to understand why NZ deer farmers seemed to achieve such poor returns in comparison to both the end value of their products, and the level of risk they accepted in producing them. And lastly, I wanted to know whether our conventional industry supply chains were going to be fit for purpose in a rapidly changing world.

To achieve this, I undertook a review of existing literature, spoke to industry leaders, academics, public servants, and business owners. Most of these were connected to the primary sector, however perspectives and experience from outside the sector were also sought for insight and comparative purposes.

In doing so I found the following:

  • NZ deer farmers, similar to the wider drystock sector, are not profitable in the context of other industries and what are considered average Returns on Capital Employed (ROCE) within NZ. On average, NZ deer farmers achieve approximately 3.4% return on their capital. In comparison, the NZ share market has achieved an average return of 6.5% since 1900. Additionally, our true capital gains are virtually zero once inflation is considered.

  • There are a number of macro level risks and trends in existence that are affecting the NZ deer industry now or will do so in the future. It is also likely that we are underestimating them. The risks posed by factors such a climate change, environmental degradation, geopolitical risk, and the rapid emergence of alternative proteins are significant. Each of these has the ability to significantly disrupt our industry, one that is plagued by poor returns and an increasingly unsympathetic public. Our current approach to these trends is largely one of defense and maintaining the course. This must be replaced by a strategy of active risk management and opportunity realisation.

  • Our current industry supply chains do indeed place the majority of the risk onto the farmer, noting our conventional position as sellers of raw undifferentiated commodity products into global markets. This ongoing situation forces the industry to accept all production risks and the prevailing market price, while allowing multiple other members of the supply chain to add their margin. This results in farmers receiving as little as 3% of the end value of their velvet. As the range and severity of the risk’s deer farmers face increase, it is clear that we can no longer afford the status quo.

  • Environmental outcomes and profit are not mutually exclusive. There are currently working examples within NZ of primary sector organisations and businesses that are achieving above average returns and positive environmental outcomes. An example of this is Lake Hawea Station that is achieving a 40% premium over the current industry average for its fine wool on the basis of its carbon zero certification.  

  • Whilst environmental attributes can be successfully monetized, it is unlikely to be done successfully through our conventional supply value chains. These systems are set up to supply undifferentiated commodities onto the open market and are therefore unlikely to achieve and/or maintain a premium for those attributes, particularly when other agriculture countries are doing the same. Additionally, not all of our end customers place the same value on environmental attributes. To fully leverage positive environmental attributes, it is necessary to fundamentally change the way we take our products to market. It is also recognised that developing new business models can carry a significant degree of risk and requires a range of competencies outside of those required to run a traditional farming business.

To achieve this, it is recommended that the NZ Deer Farmers Association (DFA) establish a programme of work in coordination with Deer Industry NZ (DINZ) and Central Government, with the purpose of transitioning the industry away from the sale of its products as raw/undifferentiated commodities via conventional supply chains, and towards the establishment of short value chains that are effective in matching value creation with economic return. It is proposed that the programme contain the following key objectives:

(a) Identify and support the establishment of business models and/or industry structures that have the potential to achieve the intent of the project. This work would be initially informed by those models utilised by Spring Sheep, NZ Merino and Zespri.

(b) Identify and promote the utilization of technology and web-based platforms that allow for the identification of consumers and the sale of finished products directly to them.

(c) Identify what environmental attributes can be leveraged by these business models for commercial advantage, noting that the delivery and communication of on-farm environmental outcomes will also be beneficial to the deer industries social licence.  The key focus of this objective is turning environmental compliance into economic opportunity.

It is further proposed that financial support for this project by sought from Government, based on its alignment with current political priorities, including addressing climate change through the reduction of on-farm emissions.

It is well understood by the author that many of findings contained within this report are not new, and that attempting to both capture and create more value from NZ’s agriculture products has long been an area of focus. However, our environment today is different from yesterday. We now have the knowledge, the examples, and the tools necessary to take our products to market more profitably and achieve better environmental outcomes. We as farmers, should no longer let existing structures, interests and thinking continue to dictate what we are paid and how much risk we accept in turn.

Keywords for Search: Ben Anderson, Benjamin, Andersen

Super heroes, not super humans

Agriculture is the most dangerous occupation in New Zealand, the UK and Australia.

Despite the introduction of the Health and Safety at Work Act 2015 and a focus on improving health and safety, the rates of fatality and harm in NZ agriculture remain stubbornly high. This has negative impacts on the sector’s productivity, profitability and sustainability. The consequences for farming families and communities are tragic.

This report explores the paradox:

Farmers care about people and each other and Their workplaces kill, hurt or harm too many people.

The report draws on semi structured interviews with nearly 50 stakeholders complimented by conversations with countless farmers, their team and family members. A review of research exploring the current state of health and safety on farm and how farmers think identifies possible root causes of the current state (what’s happening now).

Although largely invisible, assumptions and beliefs powerfully influence farmer behaviour including:

  • Lack of perceived susceptibility (they don’t think they personally will get hurt)
  • Risk is normalised by family and peers (everyone’s doing it)
  • Risk is assumed to be a part of farm work that can’t be managed or controlled (when accidents happen they are explained as “freak” events or unpreventable)
  • Risks are perceived to be common sense and people are expected to take care of their own health and safety, with some being perceived to be ‘just accident prone’.

Farmers expect themselves and their people to be super human!

The report uses the Conscious Leadership’s Fact vs Story model to explore common farmer beliefs and compare these with facts and data to identify the “stories” that prevent positive change.

Given unhelpful stories are a strong influence on behaviour it is critical that interventions address these beliefs and farmers’ “mindset”.

However, interventions have traditionally focused on “education only”. Health and safety has been pigeon holed as a compliance issue of little value to individuals or their businesses.

Establishing the “why” or “what’s in it for me” and the compelling benefits of good work design, is critical. The mindset/practices model shared by Fiona Ewing at the Forestry Industry Safety Council identifies the importance of establishing both the mindset and capability to support the design of good work.

There are examples of farmers in quadrant 4 (get it, do it) which demonstrate what is possible for the sector if the correct mindset and practices (capability) are established.

There are many measurable benefits of good work design which will help establish the “why” for individual farmers including:

  • Higher engagement
  • Lower absenteeism
  • Enhanced social licence
  • Better attraction and retention
  • Positive return on investment
  • Lower costs
  • Increased productivity

Articulating these benefits may provide farmers with something they really want (better work and work environments which address some of their existing challenges).

Good work results in win:win:win outcomes: better work quality, more productive and enjoyable work environments and healthy and safe people.

Challenging pervasive stories and unhelpful beliefs requires relationships built on trust. It is important that the sector values those who bring diverse thinking and non-technical skills. Non-technical skills are identified as critical to better health and safety outcomes. Supporting farmers to develop non-technical skills will improve health and safety outcomes but also have a range of other benefits at business and sector level.

Credible, trusted “connectors” need to be available to support farmers to make change – the messenger makes a difference. To be effective these connectors need trusting relationships with those they seek to influence. Building these takes time and requires proper resourcing. It is important to take a holistic approach to the farm system that acknowledges good work design is fundamental to success and influences all aspects of the enterprise; health and safety can’t be put in a box.

Once the benefits of good work are articulated and farmers “get it” or connect emotionally with the “why”, the what and how become easier.

With the right mindset, the focus becomes lifting capability by setting up farmers up for “can do”. They need:

  • The knowledge (an understanding of why, how and what to do)
  • The skill (the research shows this must encompass both the technical and non-technical skills required for success). Developing skill requires practice and it is important that support is provided during this stage.
  • The method – The correct method for “good” work design, specific to the farm context and focused on practical and effective outcomes. This requires an understanding of the hierarchy of controls and an emphasis on higher level (more effective) controls like elimination or minimisation, rather than the current sector wide focus on lower level and less effective controls (administrative controls or Personal Protective Equipment). It also requires collaboration and leadership to agree “what good looks like” for the sector.
  • The tools – Support from up-stream duty holders (those who share responsibility for controlling workplace risks) is required to ensure farmers have access to the tools required to manage risk in their workplaces and set up for “good work” in a practical and effective way
  • The resources – the money, materials and people to be successful. The closed border and current immigration settings are currently a limiting factor due to the severe people shortages in the sector.

Only if all five components of “can do” are present can farmers be expected to successfully manage work design and ensure healthy and safe outcomes for their people.

Increasing awareness of “what good looks like” is also critical to changing behaviour and social norms. This requires a cohesive sector communication strategy. All sector stakeholders need to collaborate to support the messaging which should focus on 2-3 key components.

The Health and Safety at Work Act provides significant fines and other consequences for farmers who fail to provide safe and healthy work. However, the fragmented, low surveillance farming context reduces the likelihood that these consequences will result in change. Farmers are more likely to die than be prosecuted.

Raising awareness about why, how and what should be done and increasing accountability may be more effective. Leveraging “belonging” to change social norms and make good work design an attribute of great farmers may be more successful. Farmers want to know: are my neighbours doing it?

Changing social norms requires a compelling vision for the sector. This is more likely to be successful if it addresses health and safety by stealth, given many farmers have totally disengaged with the tainted health and safety brand. Motivating farmers with a vision which connects with them on an emotional level is more likely to be successful.

Supporting change by communicating:

  • through multiple channels and mediums
  • using visuals and graphics (rather than text)
  • through story telling to share stories of positive change and develop self efficacy (a belief that farmers have the ability required to design good work and prevent harm)
  • examples of the journey taken by farmers at all stages (beginning, developing and excellence) focused on small, low/no cost changes and safe change at a pace and scale suited to individual capacity and resources
  • realistic examples of positive change aligned with something farmers really want (more enjoyable, productive workplaces with fewer people headaches) is the recommended approach.

Ensuring intervention before risks become habituated or “normal” is critical and leveraging children and young people before they embed unhelpful beliefs is key. The next generation of farmers and young people are at the heart of this cultural and behavioural change. Significant change may take a generation and resourcing needs to reflect this and be independent of political cycles.

Keywords for Search: Lynsey Stratford, Lyndsey, Linsey, Lindsay, Lynsay

Science and Innovation in New Zealand Agriculture

The era of trade liberalisation and reform in the 1980’s and 1990’s left New Zealand (NZ) focusing on what it was good at – being efficient commodity producers, and NZ exploited its comparative advantages. This drive for efficiencies created the domestic agenda for science and innovation. For agriculture, to drive productivity gains, the focus was inside the farm gate. It is something of a paradox that, as the world was globalising and NZ was opening up its economy to competition, we became more localised in the things that created immense value for NZ. The world is changing, and to keep up, NZ needs to be world-class at research and value creation – Innovation is the common denominator. We need to re-imagine our science and innovation models to give agriculture the best opportunity to contribute to a more prosperous NZ.

This report makes a case for change in the way research and development is conducted in this country. What we have today was the result of a massive reform agenda in the 1980’s and 1990’s, when market forces were introduced into areas of the economy that had traditionally been protected. In the 30 years since, there has been a series of policies attempting to ‘fix’ our science system; to roll back the unintended consequences of the reforms. These efforts have largely been ‘small’ and often on the edges of the big problems. It is almost as if the courage of government for reform has evaporated; the upheavals of the earlier era has left little appetite for fundamental change. So, we have a science system that is fragmented, siloed, and characterised by competing agendas and organisations. The structures and funding models drive perverse incentives such as, doing science to get published, to be able to get funding, and to get funding, in order to get published….

The government’s role in science is complex. As a major funder it has an obligation to ensure the output is both world class, and benefits NZ. It must balance funding of the science sector with all the other demands on the treasury. The political reality of science is that there is little be gained from solving the sector’s problems. The issues are complex, difficult to define, and changes hard to implement. Over the decades there has been a decline in expert capability inside government (Cook, 2004) – people who have depth and breadth of experience in their roles. Cost efficiencies and productivity became guiding principles (Cook, 2004) and a ‘slimmed’ down state sector still resonates with the electorate. This in turn, has lowered the ambition of governments and reduced the experience held internally (Mazzucato, 2021).

Policy change at any level becomes difficult, making substantial reorganisation or visionary change to the status quo, very complex. When we try and ‘fix’ the issues we enter into what is known as the complexity paradox (Mazzucato, 2021), where layers of policies drive the creation of silos that begin competing with each other. Thus, rather than ‘fixing’ the problems they are further entrenched. We need to do much better. Whilst it’s broadly true that innovation happens close to consumers, in value chains, in science institutions, private enterprises and on farms – all across the economy, governments do have an important role in creating the framework and policies, that encourage innovation.

The crux of the problem for NZ’s science sector is that everything is viewed in the short term. Everything, almost everywhere, has been reduced to time periods, – governments can’t wait, the Performance Based Research Fund can’t wait, the science can’t wait, the funds are annually contestable, and businesses want quick wins for reporting purposes. The system doesn’t allow science enough time to figure things out. Election cycles influence funding horizons that determine project lengths, and scientists’ time horizons are limited to the length of the project they are working on, and their careers are limited to the project duration.

Everyone needs quick wins to survive. Incentives are misaligned and fragmented, all players are responding to ‘their’ incentives and few groups share the same ones. Long term strategies underpinned by investment in R&D have created some of our most successful businesses. The long-time horizons associated with Māori business is a compelling reason to build relationships with Māori and may be the catalyst for our science sector to recapture its long term view.

Keywords for Search: John Foley, Jon Foly

Resign or Redesign

David Eade report image

Commodity prices received by New Zealand farmers are close to all-time highs, yet we are protesting in the streets for the first time in decades. Our resistance to environmental regulation has exposed a vulnerability – we, farmers, are struggling to hold our place in the power hierarchy.

We took our place atop the power structure when the SS Dunedin set sail for the United Kingdom with the first shipment of refrigerated produce in 1882. We have maintained our place in society with strong representation for the best part of 140 years. This is starting to change.

Our economic model is no longer fit for purpose as we approach an environmental point of no return. We are transitioning from a model optimised for human capital to one focused on maximising natural capital. The negative externalities associated with the farming models we have used for over a century are coming home to roost.

To maintain our place in the power hierarchy, we are defaulting to old tools such as protest and advocacy groups. We do not currently have the right mix of tools needed to drive and support change in a modern world.

Biodiversity loss, net zero commitments, the rise of alternative proteins and climate change are some of the many signals on the horizon that threaten our current system. We can either view these as threats, or as opportunities. Some of the most effective ways of reaching net zero commitments come through effective land use. Through the correct stewardship of land, farmers can make a disproportionate positive impact on the environment. What’s more, a burgeoning market of investors is looking to get behind this exact cause.

Individually, farmers in New Zealand are projected to spend $150,000 over the next 10 years to meet the latest round of environmental regulation. Collectively, the New Zealand Dairy industry alone is projecting $6 billion dollars in annual losses attributable to environmental
regulation. Yet, at the same time financial markets across the world are experiencing the largest amount of investment backing net zero commitments from both large institutions and through the rise of citizen finance.

We have a model that is no longer fit for purpose. It does not serve the environment or farmers. We also have a disconnect between farmers looking to make positive environmental change and investors looking to fund these exact pursuits.

What do we do when something is no longer serving us? We redesign it.

A design process was kicked off. The first step was to empathise with the challenges faced by New Zealand livestock farmers. Over the course of 50+ hours of interviews and 100+ survey results, challenges started to emerge. Many livestock farmers currently face a negative spiral with each challenge compounding upon the last:

  • margins are being squeezed and profits are variable
  • farming businesses struggle to pay what is needed to attract good talent
  • many farming businesses remain understaffed
  • understaffed businesses lead to farmers spend more time in an operational capacity
  • after operational tasks are taken care of plus the day to day complexities of farming, there is no time left to understand ambiguous environmental regulation
  • tired farmers carry the mental tax of having to defend a negative public image.


When summarised – New Zealand livestock farmers are scared that environmental regulation will cripple their low margin business.

We are not fundamentally bad people, and we are certainly not environmental villains. The negative spiral faced by farming businesses needs to be broken. What breaks this may be an unlikely source. The environment itself.

A series of complex and simple nature-based solutions emerged during the ideation phase of the design process. These potential solutions were viewed against the criteria idefined by farmers during the empathize stage – the ability to help farmers; get paid, reduce complexity, get time back and feel valued in society. Most importantly an ideal solution had to provide the first tangible step New Zealand livestock farmers could take to make positive, profitable environmental change. The final prototype leverages many existing tools to create an outcome that will break the negative spiral faced by New Zealand livestock farmers. Of the 19 farmers pitched the idea, 75% said that they would pay to use the product.

By no means is this a silver bullet, but it is an example of what happens when we become deeply curious about a problem we are facing. Assumptions are left behind and problems are reframed. We are going to need many solutions that enable and empower New Zealand livestock farmers. This is but one tool in what will be a large toolbox. The findings in this report could be the ingredients of a future cake. A diverse range of people are needed to bake this cake and ensure that farmers can adapt to market lead signals.

Keywords for Search: David Eade, Ede

Adapting Dairy to Thrive in a Constrained World

Tracy Brown report image

This report is written for decision makers who are trying to design future strategy for the sector. I define my research problem as “how do we adapt and organise ourselves to succeed, add value and thrive in this new constrained world”. I will provide frameworks to:

  1. better understand the challenge
  2. look at what can be learnt from groups who have already begun to adapt, and
  3. discuss what we need to do to set ourselves up to succeed in the future.

“We need to move our thinking from infinite growth in a world of finite resources to a world of infinite ability to adapt within a world of finite resources”.

Dairy farmers in New Zealand are increasingly under pressure to make changes to their businesses. In addition, the system around them of how success is measured is changing. Measures of success are moving from purely financial to include environmental and social impact of businesses. There are multiple stakeholders with various views of the world and we currently have no clear framework to understand what is going on around us. A better understanding of how we need to adapt and organise ourselves, will better position leaders
to make changes.

“We are undergoing systems change, to do this well we need to get closer to and interact more with all our stakeholders”.

We have come through a period of three decades of largely unconstrained growth in dairy. The New Zealand grass-fed, pasture based system where cows live outdoors in nature has been replicated, scaled and adapted in all regions across the country. Individuals and groups have experienced huge financial rewards through development, from operational excellence and by capital gains. Increasing economic return has been the primary aim.

The last decade has seen the New Zealand dairy sector begin to respond, adapt and deliver better ‘environmental’, ‘social’ and ‘economic’ returns for business and communities. For Maori agri-business ‘cultural’ outcomes have also been important and a 4 ‘pou’ (or pillar) approach is used which includes environmental, economic, social and cultural outcomes.

Internationally, development of the ‘Sustainable Development Goals (SDG’s) by the United Nations, is creating increased expectations on minimum well-being provisions and has influenced community expectations of farmers. This combined with increasing pressure on planetary boundaries and availability of resources has impacted producers social licence to operate.

Natural advantages plus IQ or intelligence quotient (good science and expertise) has helped us get to where we are today. EQ or emotional intelligence has helped us communicate and interact with people within our markets and businesses. SQ or social intelligence will help us be better connected to stakeholders including consumers, government, civil society, Maori/iwi and local communities. Going forward, AQ or adaptability intelligence will help us adapt our systems and collaboratively innovate with stakeholders in a way that redefines our problems and how we tackle them.

As dairy farmers we are part of a complex adaptive system which can be better understood through the ‘Three Horizons Model’ which is a tool to help us think about the future and understand ‘transformative’ change. We are currently in Horizon 2 or the transition phase which is the area that will us move towards the future depending on how we respond. We have a choice to prolong the status quo by making H2- innovations (to keep the existing system keep functioning) or move towards the future by making H2+ innovations (which allow people to adapt).

“More and more leaders will not be remembered for the profits or the growth of their businesses … they will be remembered for the impact they have on society”.

(Paul Polman – former CEO, Unilever).

My report will take you on a journey to help you understand how we as individuals and leaders need to adapt and behave differently to thrive in the future. This is just the start of a bigger, wider journey we need to take as a sector.

The key recommendations of this report are:

  1. Increase the dairy sectors contribution to society’s minimum social foundation and better articulate this contribution.
  2. Include the right people with the right skills to problem solve in a way that is truly collaborative and co-creative.
  3. Identify and empower innovation super spreaders and systems where people can share ideas easily, work together and motivate one another towards a common mission.
  4. Solutions to complex problems can’t be replicated, instead we need to adapt components or processes and apply in regional or local contexts.
  5. Grow further farmer and sector capability within the AQ adaptability intelligence & SQ social intelligence competencies.
  6. Leverage information, capability and thought leadership that is available already in a way that is better coordinated and has more impact.
  7. Grow farmers understanding of change and toolbox of mental and emotional skills to be able to cope with, manage and implement change.

Keywords for Search: Tracy Brown, Tracey

Restructuring Industry Good for the Future​

Phil Wier Nuffield - Restructuring Industry Good for the Future

With a climate crisis, increasingly diversified  agri-businesses, interest in regenerative agriculture  and increasing membership of catchment  groups, coupled with generational change  and economic reform, now is the right time for  structural change to New Zealand Agriculture.  In the same way that farmers are being asked  to consider systemic changes to their farms,  businesses and landscapes, the leaders of Team  Agriculture should be brave enough to review  the structures which underpin the ‘industry good’  system and make the difficult but necessary  changes to improve.

The Fit for a Better World vision states that we in  the primary industries are committed to meeting  the greatest challenge humanity faces: rapidly  moving to a low carbon emissions society,  restoring the health of our water, reversing the  decline in biodiversity and at the same time,  feeding our people.

In the coming years, additional capital will  be cycled through agriculture, either via an  amended Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) or a  farmer-led He Waka Eke Noa pricing scheme,  to reduce GHG emissions so our products can  be both the best in the world and the best for  the world.

This is a big job. We need high performance. We  could continue to operate as we are, celebrating  improved collaboration and striving to tell our  story better without addressing the inherently  fragmented system in which we operate. But  if systems determine culture, and culture is a  pre-requisite for high performance, then we  require intervention at a systems level to enable  our industry to transition from good to great and  achieve our vision.

The Commodity Levies Act and the organisations  it enables are served by robust governance  and democratic process. Structurally, free  riding is removed, and discretion provided as to  investment area. For pastoral levy bodies (DairyNZ  and Beef + Lamb New Zealand), advocacy and  lobbying have become increasingly important in  response to social licence to operate challenges  and environmental regulatory reform.  However internationally, membership  organisations perform the advocacy function.  It is my view, based on interviews, that the  mixing of lobbying/advocacy with knowledge  exchange and research & development, creates  confusion for farmers and stakeholders (including  shareholders, but also government, R&D  community etc.) as to the role or purpose of the  levy bodies and membership organisations.  As this confusion permeates, the work in the  public good space can become tainted as  organisations crave attribution for their activity in  a fragmented system.

An alternative must be underpinned by strong  principles and systems that support Aotearoa’s  whenua/land managers to create the best food,  fibre and ecosystem services on earth. The current  industry good arrangement provides farmers with  significant representation, but a system change may  need to sacrifice some farmer representation for the  sake of improved operational efficiency.

This report proposes that a new organisation,  ‘Ahuwhenua New Zealand’ be created. This peak  body would be structurally similar to both the New  Zealand Council of Trade Unions and the Agricultural  and Horticultural Development Board in the UK.  Ahuwhenua NZ would see several functions  consolidated into a single organisation. The current  levy bodies would remain, but their scope limited to  industry-specific insight and foresight. Levies would  continue to be directed to public good activities.  Membership organisations such as Federated  Farmers, removed of forced riding, would focus  on advocating and lobbying strongly for their  farming membership.

As a peak body, Ahuwhenua NZ would be a  future-focused centralised organisation tasked  with leading activities for which the outcomes  are agnostic of commodity production type (i.e.,  improved water quality, research and development,  stronger rural communities). With a focus better  connected to the land rather than production type,  whenua/land managers will be empowered to use  their resources in a manner that is best for our land,  families, communities, and planet. 

Keywords for Search: Phil Weir